Trialsworn, the Look-Elsewhere Seer Mug
Look-elsewhere effect: a local significance must be corrected for the number of places you searched, lowering the global significance.
The joke: Anyone who saw a bump vanish after the trials factor knows the feeling. The slogan on the mug reads LOCAL 3 SIGMA. GLOBAL SHRUG.
Source: E. Gross & O. Vitells, Eur. Phys. J. C 70, 525 (2010).
Shipping calculated at checkout by destinationMade to order, ships in ~10 days
Details
Size & material11oz · 15oz
Black glossy ceramic mug with a C-handle. Lead- and BPA-free.
- 11oz: 0.33 l
- 15oz: 0.44 l
CareDishwasher & microwave safe
Dishwasher safe (top rack) or hand wash. Microwave safe.
ShippingBy destination
Shipping calculated at checkout by destination.
Made to order: about 10 days of production and handling before it ships.
Returns & replacements21 days
Every item is printed to order, so we can’t accept returns or exchanges for change of mind, or if you ordered the wrong size or colour.
Print defect, misprint, damage or the wrong item? We’ll send a free replacement, or a refund if you prefer. Report it within 21 days of delivery with a photo; no need to send it back.
The physics
Equations
| Symbol | Meaning | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| \(p_{\text{global}}\) | global p-value | — |
| \(p_{\text{local}}\) | local p-value | — |
| \(\langle N(c_0) \rangle\) | mean number of upcrossings of level c_0 | — |
| \(c\) | observed test statistic (−2 ln likelihood ratio) | — |
| \(c_0\) | low reference level | — |